Pure and simple application of the precautionary approach: because of the alarming trends on the status of several ocean ecosystems, the World Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002 decided to keep the oceans under permanent review via global and integrated assessments of the state of ocean processes. This conclusion was reached because there were worrying signs that the sector by sector arrangements to manage ocean activities had proven insufficient and there was no instrument capable to identify the combined impact on the natural systems responsible for the health of the ocean, of two, three or more activities being assessed and regulated independently. The same year, the UN General Assembly not only endorsed the outcome of WSSD, welcoming the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, but also decided through Resolution 57/141 to establish, and I quote from paragraph 45, […] “Decides to establish by 2004 a regular process under the United Nations for the global reporting and assessment of the state of the marine environment, including socio-economic aspects, both current and foreseeable, building on existing regional assessments“. This is the most comprehensive initiative undertaken by the UN system yet to improve Ocean Governance.
Not to be surprised the initiative faced some resistance in the General Assembly. Countries not sufficiently attentive to these developments adopted a non committal attitude. Some others questioned the very reasons why the process was being developed, defending the view, for example, that living marine resources should be excluded from the exercise because FAO had “exclusive jurisdiction” to pass judgment on fisheries issues. After a couple of intergovernmental Workshops, in 2005 the UN General Assembly finally managed to move forward through resolution 60/30, requesting UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to take the lead in getting the process started.
The report of three years of work is impressive[1]. The group of experts analyzed over 200 ocean assessments out of a data base of more than 415 assessments and data collection. The study was peer-reviewed by 85 independent experts and was open to comments by member states, and since April 2009 has been available in full on the web.[2]. Following best practices, the Group of Experts fully documented the peer-review process, cataloguing all the questions raised by reviewers and member states, recording if the comment was taken on board or not by experts and giving the reason why.
The report gave an unqualified yes to the question of feasibility and proposes a clear way-forward for the Regular Process. By putting together the first ever comprehensive overview of the ocean assessment landscape, the Report gives the essential elements to plan and conduct the first Global Integrated Assessment of the Ocean by 2014-15, in full accordance with UN General Assembly resolution 57/141, only ten years later[3]. The Summary for Policy Makers, translated into the six UN languages, was analyzed at the 63th General Assembly of the UN by a Working Group of the whole composed by all members of the UN in August-September 2009. A large plurality of participating countries agreed that there is an urgent need to conduct an integrated global assessment of the ocean, including socio-economic aspects, and that the main elements of the proposal emerging from the work done by the Group of Experts was a necessary and sufficient basis to start the first cycle. A first cycle of the regular process could be conducted between 2010 and 2015 and at the same time report to CSD, if the commission so agreed.
The report proposes a process that can genuinely integrate the different existing institutions, at the global, regional and national level in order to produce the assessment. Experts emphasized that much more important than to have a full new set of perfect data, is to apply the best practices flowing from the many assessments analyzed in the study, with the aim of building a robust global institutional base that using the same principles, can come up with the first integrated assessment of the world ocean. This first assessment, by necessity, will be far from being perfect despite being global will be uneven in coverage. All the regional organizations that need to participate are not equal and do not receive the same level of support from its members. The enhancement of capacity to conduct assessments in some regions is an essential prerequisite that needs to be addressed for the full realization of the Regular Process.
Because they need evidence-based policies for many ocean issues, nations of the world spend and will continue to spend significant amounts of resources in assessments, and new activities are being planned. For example, the assessment planned for the next five years by the nations surrounding the North Pacific, grouped under North Pacific Science Organization (PICES) or the next assessments planned under OSPAR, HELCOM or the Mediterranean Plan of Action.
Beyond the Integrated product that is anticipated by 2014-2015, it is the way that is proposed to unfold the process that is extremely relevant. The Group of experts devised an incremental approach which will be inclusive and influential. The Regular Process is envisaged as a global mechanism/forum which will become increasingly relevant to a range of existing processes and institutions and which will develop focused interim products (“thematic assessments”) and benefits to Member States and ocean entities. Implementing the first Integrated Assessment of the Ocean is a bare minimum.
After reading this paper and getting the distinct impression that we are still climbing sand dunes, I cannot refrain of narrating what until now has been a private conversation I had the privilege to hold in Reykjavík with H.E. Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson, President of Iceland in 2002. Answering one of his questions, I was carefully choosing my words to report on the progress on ocean governance in the UN. He interrupted my polite discourse to say: “Why are you being so careful, young man? When in fact we all can recognize now the big mistake we made in 1945 by not creating the UN Ocean Agency. If we need the UN in one place is in the Ocean”. Now, talking of creating a new UN Agency is perhaps the most politically incorrect statement you can make in the UN, a sort of political suicide, but I am a firm believer that unless we think out of the box, we will fail to stand up to our responsibilities vis a vis the Ocean and future generations.
[1] The full report of the Assessment of Assessment is composed of three publications: a Summary for Decisions Makers (44 pages) the Report (208 pages) and a series of Regional and Supra-Regional Summaries and Technical Annexes (432 pages)
[2] Accesible from “AoA Report” in Http://www.unga-regular-process.org/
[3] 2014-15 are the years when the Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD) has tentatively scheduled to conduct a review of oceans and coastal issues.